Tunnel to some kind of aircraft? by Mike Cordedda CC (by)
Predicting the future accurately is possible, so says Daniel Burrus, author of Flash Foresight: How to see the invisible and do the impossible.
I’m only in chapter 3, but I’m so excited I want to get down my early thoughts now. There WILL be more posts, I can predict that already. ; )
Predicting the future is possible – you just have to know where to look. Obviously, knowing your field is important — but most times the experts get it really, really wrong. General Motors for instance.
Here are some early brain dumps:
Hard trends v.s soft trends – cyclical and linear hard trends vs. short term soft trends – not every third American is an Elvis impersonator, despite the seeming statistical “trend” from the growth in this profession from 1977 to 1982.
Changes in tech WILL happen — there are 8 “pathways of technological advancement” — dematerialization, virtualization, mobility, product intelligence, networking, interactivity, globalization, and convergence — and three accelerators: processing power, storage and bandwidth. These are hard trends.
The SOFT trend is – who is going to actually DO it?
Be PRE-active – anticipate problems before they occur, rather than PRO-active, dealing with a problem in its early phases.
The 2006 Tsunamai was predictable – earthquakes happened prior to – and right before the tsunami hit, the ocean receded. A British schoolgirl, Scottish teacher and an aboriginal tribe all saw this and knew that when the ocean recedes notably – it’s gonna make a comeback.
His discussion of what’s happening in tech already and what’s on the horizon is jaw-dropping.
Here are his trend predictions for 2011, what are you and your organisation doing about these? What am I going to do about these? http://www.flashforesight.com/trends-for-2011/
Had an amazing conversation today with my wonderful husband that led to a discovery about where my passion lies.
All of the guides to business and success tell you to find what you’re passionate about, then get creative thinking about a business to build.
For years I have thought I was dull or defective because there is no one thing I can honestly claim to be on fire passionate about. Sure, there are things I feel strongly about, but nothing that could be described as a passion.
Tonight, I realised why it’s been so hard to put my finger on something specific: What I’m passionate about is learning and researching and communicating what I’ve learned to others.
I don’t feel the need to be a subject matter expert, but I do like to get to know a subject sufficiently to test assumptions and anticipate questions and then share what I’ve learned with others and invite them to explore more if they wish.
When I was in my late 20s, a negative work environment murdered my love for broadcast journalism. In my 40s, the education sector re-awoke my love for researching and learning about topics beyond my comfort zone and life.
It took until today for it to click for me that what I thought was a weakness – the ability to get excited or feel the excitement of others about pretty much any topic, dive in for a short period, then re-emerge, share with others and move on – was a strength. What I thought was flakiness is in fact, curiousity and a love of sharing.
From the remaining Ronnie – sure to give you a giggle. But also has made me wonder, do I clear my language of jargon sufficiently that my audience understands me? Or as they read what I write or listen to me present, are they having visions of fruit baskets?
This is a brain dump, nuts and bolts post to remind me the steps to take when bulk adding new users to a Moodle 2.0 site. It’s a quick, down and dirty set of notes for me – that I’m sharing as a blog post in case you have been Googling around for answers…
Okay, so I have a spreadsheet to which users who are interested in getting a free site on our Moodle 2.0 test site can register. It’s via Google docs.
Rather than add individual accounts, I want to bulk upload.
1) Download current users from existing Moodle site. This gives headers.
2) Set up Google spreadsheet/form so that the headers map. Google doesn’t have a mapping feature so need to be precise.
2a) It’s phone1 NOT phone NOT telephone
3) copy and paste from Google spreadsheet to Open Office spreadsheet
3a) ensure no odd characters were added by users adding themselves to the spreadsheet
4) save as CSV and EDIT FILTER SETTINGS
5) keep current format
6) Character Set UTF-8, Field delimiter is , DELETE Text delimiter
7) save, then upload, ensuring you have UTF-8 selected.
I'm KerryJ, an Adelaide, South Australia-based educational technologist.
What I love about my work
Creating visual, authentic, interactive experiences that stretch learners and gives them incidental learning in the information and digital literacies that will prepare them for online learning.
My favourite learner quote
I could barely turn a computer on when I started this course. I am leaving it having presented in a webinar and so much more confident in using technology!
What's this blog about?
Neotenous means to retain a childlike sense of wonder and excitement no matter what your age. This is my space to share my professional and personal learning journey in the use of technology to support learning. Some posts will be nuts and bolts, others will focus on issues, others still on research. All are my own work and my own views.